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Notes:

Release Name: Better Predicted

Notes: This is the files that documents the better predciton result when we used the inflation data of only last 110 months. Of 110 months data 90 months were used for training set while last 20 months were used for validation (predcition) set. By choosing the small sample size it shows the problem of overfitting has been reduced. That is even though trained (fitted) data set provides small COD compared to that of previous analyis the predicitons et showed far better result and better COD. The significant lags used are t-1, t-10, t-13 and t-25 Note: The input file (inflationsmall.dat) accompanied by the document is archived in .zip format


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